Colin Kaepernick

Colin Kaepernick

Our Investing Thesis

The hobby is huge. There is a ton of temptation and FOMO. It's easy to become undisciplined and sloppy in pursuit of making money investing in sports cards.

Our sports card investing thesis is three fold.

1. Don't Chase. The way to make money investing in Sports Cards is NOT to chase the hot players or cards, but to have the ability to identify the NEXT hottest player BEFORE their card prices take off.

2. Stay In The Game. Since each player has a countless amount of cards, it's necessary to stay disciplined in identifying and purchasing cards that will have the ability to rise in value. Go Low / Mid Risk as much as possible. Everyone wants the big names. If the price is already high, then the upside is already baked in. Buy the dip on either the card, the player or both. Have reasonable expectations. Not every card will yield a profit, but overall, if you stay in the game, you should make 20% over the long haul.

3. Be Set Up To Sell. The most overlooked part of profiting in sports card investing is actually being set up to sell your cards. This includes acquiring cards that are frequently transacted, so as to instill confidence in your future buyer by being able to show consistent sales comps. We're not saying not to acquire short prints and variations, but if you're looking to make an ROI quickly, these aren't always the best cards.

There are two windows. The long term window and the flippable window. The long term window is when you believe a player has a season or more of relevant potential "moments" ahead. The flippable window is when a player actually never has to perform well on the field or court, but only has to generate enough "hype" to see an increase in card value.

We know that our background of professional sports front office work and player scouting, high stakes fantasy sports expertise, digital content creation and sales will make our Sports Card Investment Report a critical piece in your pursuit of positive ROI on your Sports Card Investments.

Colin Kaepernick

The Reward

Colin Kaepernick is a 34-year-old NFL Quarterback who is currently a free agent. Kaepernick played College Football for the Nevada Wolf Pack, where he was named the Western Athletic Conference (WAC) Offensive Player of the Year twice and became the only player in NCAA Division I history to amass 10,000 passing yards and 4,000 rushing yards in a career. After graduating, he was selected by the 49ers in the second round of the 2011 NFL Draft. Kaepernick began his NFL career as a backup QB to Alex Smith but became the 49ers' starter in the middle of the 2012 season after Smith suffered a concussion. He then remained the starter for the rest of the season, leading the 49ers (under the coaching of Jim Harbaugh) to their first Super Bowl appearance since 1994. The Following season (2013, also under Jim Harbaugh), Kaepernick helped the 49ers reach the NFC Championship Game. Over the next three seasons, Kaepernick lost and won back his starting job several times, with the 49ers missing the playoffs three years in a row. Jim Harbaugh finally decided he had enough and headed back to coaching College Football for Michigan.

In the 2016 pre-season third game, Kaepernick sat during the playing of the national anthem, rather than stand as is customary, as a protest against racism, police brutality and social injustice in the country. Throughout the rest of the season, Kaepernick routinely kneeled during the anthem. The protests created quite the controversy of opinions, with some people praising him and others denouncing the protests. His actions resulted in a nation-wide protest movement, which intensified in September 2017 after President Donald Trump said that NFL owners should "fire" players who protest during the national anthem. Therefore, after the 2016 season, Kaepernick became a free agent and has since remained a free agent, which numerous analysts have attributed to political NFL reasons. In November 2017, he filed a grievance against the NFL and its owners, accusing them of colluding to keep him out of the league. Kaepernick withdrew the grievance in February 2019 after reaching a confidential settlement with the NFL. His protests received renewed attention in 2020 amid the George Floyd incident and protests against police brutality and racism, but he remains unsigned by any NFL team.

At the time of the George Floyd incident, Kaepernick’s 2011 rookie cards spiked in value because he has become best known for being an American civil rights activist. His 2011 Topps Chrome PSA 10 rookie card was selling for $700 on average when the George Floyd protests occurred. Today this same card and grade can be had for about $250 to $300, still at a premium based on his social media popularity. If another massive civil rights event happens, we could see these spike again. Recently Kaepernick has been on record working out with the Seattle Seahawks and the Las Vegas Raiders. There were some rumors and reports he would sign as a backup on one of those teams, but nothing has developed further. If he does end up signing with an NFL team we will definitely see a small spike in demand for his cards, and if for some reason he were to ever get a start again you better believe we’ll see a much larger demand spike.

The Risk

There is likely still deep ceded political reasons as to why nobody will sign him, even to a back-up role. He’s also now been out of the game for 5 years so it would seem coming back at this point would be a VERY long shot. There is definitely risk in his card values going down once September hits and he still hasn’t signed anywhere, especially if his role as an activist also fades.

Thanks to Andy Cason from Football Card Quest and the Football Card Strategy Show for Contributing To This Profile.

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