Our Investing Thesis
The hobby is huge. There is a ton of temptation and FOMO. It's easy to become undisciplined and sloppy in pursuit of making money investing in sports cards.
Our sports card investing thesis is three fold.
1. Don't Chase. The way to make money investing in Sports Cards is NOT to chase the hot players or cards, but to have the ability to identify the NEXT hottest player BEFORE their card prices take off.
2. Stay In The Game. Since each player has a countless amount of cards, it's necessary to stay disciplined in identifying and purchasing cards that will have the ability to rise in value. Go Low / Mid Risk as much as possible. Everyone wants the big names. If the price is already high, then the upside is already baked in. Buy the dip on either the card, the player or both. Have reasonable expectations. Not every card will yield a profit, but overall, if you stay in the game, you should make 20% over the long haul.
3. Be Set Up To Sell. The most overlooked part of profiting in sports card investing is actually being set up to sell your cards. This includes acquiring cards that are frequently transacted, so as to instill confidence in your future buyer by being able to show consistent sales comps. We're not saying not to acquire short prints and variations, but if you're looking to make an ROI quickly, these aren't always the best cards.
There are two windows. The long term window and the flippable window. The long term window is when you believe a player has a season or more of relevant potential "moments" ahead. The flippable window is when a player actually never has to perform well on the field or court, but only has to generate enough "hype" to see an increase in card value.
We know that our background of professional sports front office work and player scouting, high stakes fantasy sports expertise, digital content creation and sales will make our Sports Card Investment Report a critical piece in your pursuit of positive ROI on your Sports Card Investments.
Davante Adams is a wide receiver for the Las Vegas Raiders and was selected in the second round with the 53rd overall pick in the 2014 NFL Draft. Born in Redwood City, California, Adams attended Palo Alto High School and started at both wide receiver and cornerback for the Palo Alto Vikings. As a senior, Adams caught 64 passes for 1,094 yards and 12 touchdowns, and also recorded 44 tackles, two forced fumbles and 1 INT. Adams was also a two-star recruit in basketball, but committed to Fresno State as a two-star receiver in their 2011 class. After redshirting his true freshman season, Adams would quickly emerge as one of the top receivers in the nation with none other than Derek Carr behind center. He played in just two seasons with the Fresno State Bulldogs, amassing 233 receptions for 3,030 yards and 38 touchdowns while also being named the Mountain West Freshman of the year (2012) along with first-team All-MWC (2012 and 2013). Adams would be recognized with second-team All-American honors in 2013 after going for 131-1718-24.
Now heading into his 9th season, Adams has been one of the most elite wide receivers we’ve seen in recent memory, however still not a lock for the HOF yet. He is a 2x All-Pro and 5x Pro-Bowler. In 2021, Adams posted career-highs in receptions (123), receiving yards (1,553) and targets (169) while also catching 11 touchdowns and averaging 21.5 fantasy points per game (WR2). This marked the 3rd time in four seasons that Adams went for both 1,300 receiving yards or more, and had double-digit touchdowns. He has caught 10 or more touchdown passes in five of his eight seasons.
During his dominant 2021 campaign, Adams ranked fourth in the league in YAC, (576), 14th in deep balls (23) and second in target share (31.6%).
Adams has been voted to the Pro Bowl for five straight seasons and has been named First-Team AP All-Pro in each of the last two. If he retired today he’d be in the same hall of fame category as AJ Green and Demaryius Thmoas, but he still has plenty left to offer as he heads into a new chapter of his career during his age 29 season. An offseason trade sent him from Green Bay to his childhood dream team in the Raiders to reunite with his college quarterback Derek Carr. With an increased competition for targets (think Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller) and a downgrade from Aaron Rodgers, Adams' numbers may not be quite as robust, but he is still the best receiver in football getting open and creating yards after the catch and will continue to dominate the NFL as he has in the past. The Raiders offense needed a WR1 to pair along with Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow. Now, new head coach Josh McDaniels (former Patriots Offensive Coordinator) has an arsenal of receiving threats at his disposal.
Technically Davante Adams is getting older, having just crested the age apex for production, and its clear Derek Carr is not as good as Aaron Rodgers. Carr cannot make the same back shoulder fade throws to the outside of the field that Rodgers can, which contributed to quite a few TDs for Adams. Plus the Las Vegas Raiders are in a incredibly tough division with the likes of the Chargers, Chiefs, and Broncos. Vegas Insiders are predicting them to finish last in this division which means no playoff run and potentially a below average win-loss total. You combine that with the fact Derek Carr is a guy who goes through his scan progression on every play looking for the open receiver, and not just latching on to one guy like Rodgers has done over the years with Adams, could lead to a significant decrease in production for Adams this year.