Our Investing Thesis
The hobby is huge. There is a ton of temptation and FOMO. It's easy to become undisciplined and sloppy in pursuit of making money investing in sports cards.
Our sports card investing thesis is three fold.
1. Don't Chase. The way to make money investing in Sports Cards is NOT to chase the hot players or cards, but to have the ability to identify the NEXT hottest player BEFORE their card prices take off.
2. Stay In The Game. Since each player has a countless amount of cards, it's necessary to stay disciplined in identifying and purchasing cards that will have the ability to rise in value. Go Low / Mid Risk as much as possible. Everyone wants the big names. If the price is already high, then the upside is already baked in. Buy the dip on either the card, the player or both. Have reasonable expectations. Not every card will yield a profit, but overall, if you stay in the game, you should make 20% over the long haul.
3. Be Set Up To Sell. The most overlooked part of profiting in sports card investing is actually being set up to sell your cards. This includes acquiring cards that are frequently transacted, so as to instill confidence in your future buyer by being able to show consistent sales comps. We're not saying not to acquire short prints and variations, but if you're looking to make an ROI quickly, these aren't always the best cards.
There are two windows. The long term window and the flippable window. The long term window is when you believe a player has a season or more of relevant potential "moments" ahead. The flippable window is when a player actually never has to perform well on the field or court, but only has to generate enough "hype" to see an increase in card value.
We know that our background of professional sports front office work and player scouting, high stakes fantasy sports expertise, digital content creation and sales will make our Sports Card Investment Report a critical piece in your pursuit of positive ROI on your Sports Card Investments.
Why should you subscribe to our premium content if you haven't already? Simple. Calls like the one we made on Garland. We have had him as a buy since December 2022. His cards we recommended buying have doubled in value since then.
I love listening to "The Mismatch." It's a podcast on The Ringer network with Chris Vernon and Kevin O'Connor. I listen for tidbits of information that lead me to believe a player will outperform their past card value. Vernon quoted Stephen Curry on the show, stating that Steph believes Garland will take a huge leap and be legit, and even added something along the lines of "Steph thinks sports card collectors should roll with Darius Garland." I'm paraphrasing. But obviously this caught my attention, and I dug into Garland huge...immediately.
What I found was that Garland perfectly fits my perfect investment profile. A PG...a top five overall pick, and a productive starter early on in his career on a team that has a chance to compete in the playoffs.
The only thing he's missing is a ton of hype heading into the league. He doesn't exactly come from a basketball powerhouse (Vanderbilt), and Cleveland isn't a huge NBA market. But, this is actually something that could work to his advantage as long as he plays well.
To be clear, he looks just like an All-Star and Franchise #1 in the making, and with Donovan Mitchell now in the same backcourt, and Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen and a solid supporting cast, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cavs make a solid playoff run in 2022-23.
The fact that he represented well in his first NBA All-Star appearance, and won the skills challenge with "Team Cavs" teammates Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, only help solidify his value.
Now, Garland has reportedly signed the largest contract in Cleveland Cavaliers history, from ESPN.com - Cleveland Cavaliers All-Star guard Darius Garland has agreed to a five-year, $193 million maximum designated rookie contract extension that could be worth as much as $231 million, Klutch Sports CEO Rich Paul told ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski. It is the largest deal in franchise history.
The Risk: With Donovan Mitchell now in town, does Garland fall to being a #2 player or does he continue to materialize with Steph Curry upside and become a 1a/1b with Mitchell?