Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa

Our Investing Thesis

The hobby is huge. There is a ton of temptation and FOMO. It's easy to become undisciplined and sloppy in pursuit of making money investing in sports cards.

Our sports card investing thesis is three fold.

1. Don't Chase. The way to make money investing in Sports Cards is NOT to chase the hot players or cards, but to have the ability to identify the NEXT hottest player BEFORE their card prices take off.

2. Stay In The Game. Since each player has a countless amount of cards, it's necessary to stay disciplined in identifying and purchasing cards that will have the ability to rise in value. Go Low / Mid Risk as much as possible. Everyone wants the big names. If the price is already high, then the upside is already baked in. Buy the dip on either the card, the player or both. Have reasonable expectations. Not every card will yield a profit, but overall, if you stay in the game, you should make 20% over the long haul.

3. Be Set Up To Sell. The most overlooked part of profiting in sports card investing is actually being set up to sell your cards. This includes acquiring cards that are frequently transacted, so as to instill confidence in your future buyer by being able to show consistent sales comps. We're not saying not to acquire short prints and variations, but if you're looking to make an ROI quickly, these aren't always the best cards.

There are two windows. The long term window and the flippable window. The long term window is when you believe a player has a season or more of relevant potential "moments" ahead. The flippable window is when a player actually never has to perform well on the field or court, but only has to generate enough "hype" to see an increase in card value.

We know that our background of professional sports front office work and player scouting, high stakes fantasy sports expertise, digital content creation and sales will make our Sports Card Investment Report a critical piece in your pursuit of positive ROI on your Sports Card Investments.

Tua Tagovailoa

The Reward

The Latest:

From ESPN.com -

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was taken to a local hospital with head and neck injuries suffered on a second-quarter sack in Thursday night's game against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Tagovailoa hit the back of his head on the ground when he was sacked by Bengals nose tackle Josh Tupou, and his arms appeared to seize up almost immediately. He remained on the field for roughly 10 minutes before he was loaded onto a stretcher and taken away.

The Dolphins said shortly before halftime that he was conscious and had movement in all his extremities at the hospital, the University of Cincinnati Medical Center. After the game, they said Tagovailoa was expected to be released from the hospital Thursday night and travel back to Miami with the team.

Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel said Tagovailoa called for him when he went down.

"I could tell it wasn't the same guy that I was used to seeing," McDaniel said. "It was a scary moment. He was evaluated for a concussion. He's in the concussion protocol, but he's being discharged.

"It's an emotional moment. It's not a part of the deal you sign up for. His teammates and myself were very concerned, but he got checked out and it's nothing more serious than a concussion."

The entire Dolphins team gathered at midfield as Tagovailoa was taken off, and the crowd chanted, "Tua! Tua!"

The Long Term:

Tua Tagovailoa is the current starting QB for the Miami Dolphins. According to Trackalytics.com the Dolphins TV market size and number of facebook page likes rank roughly 15th in the NFL, middle of the pack. Tua played high school football in Hawaii where he became one of the highest graded high school QBs to ever play due to some of the incredibly accurate throws he was making at such a young age. He ended up committing to Alabama as a four-star prospect. He was the backup quarterback to sophomore Jalen Hurts, and in the 2018 National Championship, he replaced Hurts and threw the game winning touchdown pass (lucky break?). His sophomore season was incredibly good, and he finished 2nd in the Heisman voting only to Kyler Murray. In the Orange Bowl that year, he was nearly perfect, completing 24 of 27 passes for 318 yards and 4 TDs to get Alabama to the National Championship. Tua set a new NCAA FBS passer rating record of 199.4 for the season! Tua’s junior year abruptly came to a halt after taking a weird hit during a game against Mississippi State that caused a dislocated hip, broken nose, and concussion. Later on, he announced he would go ahead and declare for the NFL Draft. His college stats are what QB legends are made of: a 199.4 Passing Efficiency Rating, and 9.8 Total Yards Per Play. He also finished with a 94.8 (98th percentile) College QBR. He logged a 4.79 40 time (65th percentile) and measured out at 6’0” with a hand size of 10 inches (79th percentile).

He would go on to be selected with the 5th overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft by the Dolphins, just ahead of Justin Herbert. Tua’s first live game action came in Week 6 of his rookie year where he only had 2 attempts for 9 yards. The team later named him the starter just before Week 8 ahead of Ryan Fitzpatrick, and he went on to lead the Dolphins to three straight wins before jamming his thumb. He then returned to the team in Week 13 with a solid outing against Cincinnati (39 attempts, 66.7% completion, 296 yards, 1TD, 0INT). However He was benched in Week 16 for what Brian Flores said was to give the team the best shot at winning the game by putting in fearless Fitzpatrick who wasn’t afraid to throw the ball deep down the field. Tua still started the following week. He finished the 2020 season with mixed results but was able to finish with a 7.9 (No. 1) Accuracy Rating.

Going into the 2021 NFL season, he had an ADP of 145, projecting him for a fantasy raking of QB18. He suffered a rib injury which kept him out of action for four weeks and returned to action but never met the standard that he set while in college. He still finished the season No. 1 in both Red Zone Completion Percentage (64.9-percent) and tied for #1 Deep Ball Completion Percentage with Kyler Murray (50.0-percent). Tua was unfortunately drafted between two franchise-altering quarterbacks in Joe Burrow and Justin Hebert, so he is held to an incredibly high standard and will need to improve drastically in order to catch up with them.

With Tagovailoa sill on a rookie contract, Miami had the necessary cap space to trade for athletic phenom “the cheetah” Tyreek Hill during the 2022 offseason. Hill's 4-year deal included over $72 million guaranteed. Few were happier than Tua Tagovailoa when the news broke.

Needless to say Miami was determined this offseason to build around Tua to, at least, ensure it can get a fair evaluation with a new coaching staff. Trading for Tyreek Hill was the biggest move in that plan, and Miami now has a scary duo of receivers with Hill and Jaylen Waddle (also a college team-mate of Tua) in the same offense. Cedrick Wilson (former Dallas Cowboys WR 2/3) was also signed in free agency, allowing the team to trade away DeVante Parker. The Wide receiving Tight End Mike Gesicki was franchise tagged.

On the offensive line, the Dolphins added Connor Williams and Terron Armstead, ensuring that the left side of the offensive line immediately jumps above average. With Robert Hunt already an above-average starter, they are getting closer to removing the weak links on that unit. Head coach Mike McDaniel’s system should also automatically raise the level of the unit as a whole — if his offense’s track record (Former San Francisco 49ers Offensive coordinator) is anything to go by.

Four weeks into the 2022 NFL season, it's clear he has MVP upside and could be this year's Joe Burrow. The risk is clearly injury. It's not time to panic sell following Week 4's scare at Cincy.

Let's HOLD him until further notice. Buying in now would be silly, but definitely don't sell just yet.

The Risk

Injury. Wow. Weeks 3 and 4 were scary.

Thanks to Andy Cason from Football Card Quest for Contributing To This Profile.

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